Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 30

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Virtus Verona		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.82	3.05	2.42	Watch
	3.02	3.15	2.49
	2.9	3.02	2.43	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.3
	2.94	2.88	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.54)	2.99 ↓ (3.44)	2.41 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
31.7%

Draw
30.5%

Novara
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Virtus Verona - Novara Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Virtus Verona (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Verona (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Scardigno N. (G) 6. Daffara M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 28. Patane N. 75. Bassi M. 30. Gatti C. 5. Fanini F. 7. Amadio M. 18. Cernigoi I. 99. Fabbro M.	1. Boseggia E. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 26. Lorenzini F. 15. Khailoti O. 70. Valdesi A. 19. Collodel R. 99. Basso G. 72. Agyemang G. 11. Ledonne N. 23. Morosini L. 20. da Graca C.
Substitutes
2. Alfonso E. (G) 21. Ballarini M. 8. Caia F. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 20. Fiorin G. 74. Lerco S. 39. Mancini T. 11. Mastour H. 44. Pagliuca M. 29. Saiani F. 22. Sibi S. (G) 10. Zarpellon L.	36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 17. Dell'Erba D. 7. Lanini E. 3. Lartey S. 4. Malaspina M. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 12. Rossetti M. (G) 2. Scarpetta J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ledonne N. ⚽,
29', Valdesi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fanini F. ↓, Zarpellon L. ↑,
46', Patane N. ↓, Ballarini M. ↑,
46', da Graca C. 🟨,
53', Morosini L. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
53', Valdesi A. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
62', Gatti C. ↓, Caia F. ↑,
62', Fabbro M. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, D'Alessio L. ⚽,
75', da Graca C. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
75', Collodel R. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
75', Basso G. ↓, Cortese A. ↑,
79', Amadio M. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 1.

Recent form of Virtus Verona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Novara is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Virtus Verona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Verona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Verona - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.25%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.26	Pro Patria - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	Virtus Verona - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Lecco - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Brescia - Virtus Verona	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTLL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Novara - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Triestina - Novara	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Novara - Brescia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	1:1
11.01.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	3:0
07.09.24	Virtus Verona - Novara	1:0
10.02.24	Novara - Virtus Verona	1:0
29.09.23	Virtus Verona - Novara	1:1
11.05.23	Virtus Verona - Novara	3:0
21.01.23	Virtus Verona - Novara	0:1

Upcoming Matches