Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 20

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pro Sesto		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.6
	2.6	3	2.75	Watch
	2.77	2.91	2.79
	2.77	2.9	2.79
	2.6	2.9	2.6
	2.59	2.95	2.65
	2.6	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.16)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2.69 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
34.7%

Draw
31.3%

Pergolettese
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Sesto's form might have worsened.

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pergolettese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Sesto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pergolettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pro Sesto - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Frate F. (G) 30. Toninelli D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 23. Mapelli F. 17. D'Alessio L. 21. Bussaglia A. 4. Gattoni T. (C) 38. Boscolo R. 3. Maurizii E. 32. Sereni M. 98. Bruschi N.	22. Soncin M. (G) 2. Tonoli D. 4. Arini M. 35. Piccinini S. 7. Bariti D. 31. Aucelli C. 18. Artioli F. 5. Figoli M. 13. Felicioli G. 70. Caia F. 11. Guiu B.
Substitutes
20. Barranca F. 22. Botti F. (G) 26. Ferro L. 80. Florio M. 12. Formosa S. (G) 93. Guerrisi A. 50. Iotti L. 28. Marchisano M. 5. Marianucci L. 16. Petrungaro L.	6. Andreoli L. 30. Bignami R. 77. Bozzuto R. 99. Caccavo L. 1. Cattaneo M. (G) 8. Cerasani J. 3. Lambrughi A. 10. Mazzarani A. 9. Piu A.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 2.

Pro Sesto has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pergolettese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Sesto won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
23.12.23	Pro Patria - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Pro Sesto - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
08.12.23	Lumezzane - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Pro Sesto - Legnago Salus	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
23.12.23	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
08.12.23	Pergolettese - Virtus Verona	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
27.11.23	Pergolettese - Padova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.09.23	Pergolettese - Pro Sesto	5:2
16.04.23	Pro Sesto - Pergolettese	0:1
11.12.22	Pergolettese - Pro Sesto	1:2
23.02.22	Pro Sesto - Pergolettese	2:1
11.09.21	Pergolettese - Pro Sesto	2:1
10.03.21	Pro Sesto - Pergolettese	0:2
18.10.20	Pergolettese - Pro Sesto	1:0

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