The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pergolettese 43.7%
Draw 29.6%
Virtus Verona 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
27.6%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
22.8%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pergolettese's form might have worsened.
Virtus Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
96.8%
3.2%
0%
Pergolettese - Virtus Verona Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Pergolettese (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pergolettese will win
(30 of 31 users predict this - 96.77%). Confidence interval (95%): 90.55% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pergolettese will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Pergolettese (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cordaro L. (G) 33. Capoferri M. 14. Lambrughi A. 5. Milesi L. 27. Aidoo M. 80. Jaouhari Z. 4. Arini M. 20. Tremolada M. 76. Roversi L. 11. Corti N. 9. Petrovic T.
22. Sibi S. (G) 17. Yao E. 38. Ingrosso G. 23. Toffanin F. 6. Daffara M. 28. Patane N. 75. Bassi M. 7. Amadio M. 29. Saiani F. 18. Cernigoi I. 99. Fabbro M.
Substitutes
3. Antolini J. 2. Catena E. M. 22. Doldi F. (G) 6. Dore S. 10. Ferrandino D. 12. Finardi E. (G) 23. Meconi E. 70. Orlandi A. 72. Padalino A. 19. Pala A. 71. Parmigiani P. 99. Rossetti M.
2. Alfonso E. (G) 8. Caia F. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 20. Fiorin G. 30. Gatti C. 74. Lerco S. 39. Mancini T. 11. Mastour H. 95. Munaretti L. 44. Pagliuca M. 12. Scardigno N. (G) 10. Zarpellon L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Amadio M. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Fabbro M. ⚽,
28', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Saiani F. ↓, Munaretti L. ↑,
46', Roversi L. ↓, Meconi E. ↑,
46', Lambrughi A. ↓, Pala A. ↑,
59', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Ferrandino D. ↑,
66', Amadio M. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
68', Petrovic T. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
73', Patane N. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,
80', Cernigoi I. 🟨,
84', Cernigoi I. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
84', Fabbro M. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Corti N. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, Padalino A. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Virtus Verona is Serie C ~ Play Out
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 3.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, Pergolettese is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
Italy
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Cordaro L. (G) 
Petrovic T. 
Sibi S. (G) 
Yao E. 
Mastour H. 
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