Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 13

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Pergolettese		Padova

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.55
	5.5	3.6	1.6
	5.78	3.65	1.59
	6.07	3.64	1.6	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.53
	5.37	3.58	1.58	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (5.06)	3.61 ↑ (3.56)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
16.6%

Draw
25.4%

Padova
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

25.7%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

25%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Pergolettese - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pergolettese will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Padova will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordaro L. (G) 2. Tonoli D. 14. Lambrughi A. 15. Stante F. 11. Cerasani J. 4. Arini M. (C) 16. Albertini A. 33. Capoferri M. 17. Scarsella F. 80. Jaouhari Z. 9. Parker S.	1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 17. Capelli A. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 8. Fusi P. 14. Villa L. 10. Russini S. 19. Valente N. 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
70. Abubakar S. 90. Anelli N. 19. Basili D. 5. Bignami R. 92. Bouabre E. 21. Careccia S. 12. Dordoni S. (G) 26. Lecchi M. 6. Mondele L. 34. Olivieri E. 22. Raimondi P. (G) 27. Sartori G. 24. Schiavini A.	15. Bianchi N. 29. Broh J. 22. Carniello M. (G) 13. Crescenzi L. 11. Cretella C. 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. 21. Liguori M. 73. Targa A. 7. Varas K. 12. Voltan M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Perrotta M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Delli Carri F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Russini S. ⚽,
57', Scarsella F. ↓, Careccia S. ↑,
60', Russini S. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
60', Fusi P. ↓, Bianchi N. ↑,
65', Cerasani J. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
73', Valente N. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
73', Lopez P. ↓, Carniello M. ↑,
80', Capoferri M. ↓, Olivieri E. ↑,
80', Albertini A. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
80', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Bouabre E. ↑,
86', Belli F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Basili D. ⚽,
90', Liguori M. 🟨,
90+4', Tonoli D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 2.

Recent matches Pergolettese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Padova in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pergolettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
29.10.24	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Pergolettese - Triestina	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Lecco - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Pergolettese - Trento	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Novara - Pergolettese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLTL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
30.10.24	Padova - Renate	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	AlbinoLeffe - Padova	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Padova - FeralpiSalò	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Giana Erminio - Padova	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.24	Padova - Pergolettese	2:1
27.11.23	Pergolettese - Padova	1:1
11.05.23	Padova - Pergolettese	1:0
05.02.23	Padova - Pergolettese	0:3
09.10.22	Pergolettese - Padova	5:0
01.02.22	Pergolettese - Padova	0:1
04.09.21	Padova - Pergolettese	2:1

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