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Current Win Probability
Pro Sesto 66.5%
Draw 21.5%
Trevigliese 12.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
26.9%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
25.8%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Sesto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Sesto's performance.
Trevigliese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trevigliese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-22.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Sesto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (+17.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trevigliese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pro Sesto - Trevigliese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 🟥,
17', 1 - 0, Maspero A. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 2 - 0, Stefanoni D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
71', 3 - 0, ⚽,
84', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
In recent matches, Pro Sesto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Trevigliese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Pro Sesto is the obvious favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.