Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Max


	Novara		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.42	3.1	2.78
	2.36	3.26	3
	2.29	3.11	3.15	Watch
	2.4	3.13	3	Watch
	2.34	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.42)	3.14 ↑ (3)	2.92 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
39.2%

Draw
29.3%

Triestina
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

30.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

The chances for Triestina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Novara - Triestina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Triestina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Triestina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 72. Agyemang G. 5. Bertoncini D. 19. Collodel R. 20. da Graca C. 71. D'Alessio L. 10. Donadio C. 7. Lanini E. 26. Lorenzini F. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 70. Valdesi A.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Anzolin M. 33. Crnigoj D. 26. D'Amore F. 27. Faggioli A. 7. Ionita A. 17. Jonsson K. 29. Kljajic N. 6. Moretti A. 23. Silvestri T. 2. Silvestro A.
Substitutes
99. Basso G. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 17. Dell'Erba D. 8. Di Cosmo L. 15. Khailoti O. 11. Ledonne N. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 90. Perini G. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 12. Rossetti M. (G)	22. Borriello F. (G) 10. D'Urso C. 11. Gunduz T. 13. Kiyine S. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 25. Pall Ellertsson M. 28. Pedicillo L. 4. Rodolfo Moises 15. Voca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', da Graca C. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
56', D'Alessio L. ↓, Basso G. ↑,
61', Moretti A. 🟨,
62', Crnigoj D. ↓, Gunduz T. ↑,
65', Bertoncini D. 🟨,
68', Silvestro A. 🟨,
77', Lanini E. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
77', Ranieri R. ↓, Di Cosmo L. ↑,
82', Di Cosmo L. 🟨,
86', Silvestro A. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
86', Donadio C. ↓, Ledonne N. ↑,
87', Pedicillo L. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 0.

Novara has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Triestina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Novara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
28.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	3:2 ✺
25.09.25	Brescia - Novara	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Novara - Pro Vercelli	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Pro Patria - Novara	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Novara - Trento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTT
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
28.09.25	Triestina - Renate	3:0 ✺
25.09.25	Inter U23 - Triestina	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Lumezzane - Triestina	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Triestina - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.25	Triestina - Novara	6:0
14.12.24	Novara - Triestina	2:3
20.04.24	Triestina - Novara	2:2
17.12.23	Novara - Triestina	2:3
14.01.23	Triestina - Novara	2:0
13.09.22	Novara - Triestina	1:1

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