Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Kulykiv-Bilka		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.80	7.00
	1.31	4.8	7.8
	1.28	4.75	7.38
	1.31	4.94	8.1	Watch
	1.29	5.71	9.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.76)	5 ↑ (3.44)	8.04 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kulykiv-Bilka
70.3%

Draw
18.3%

Probiy Horodenka
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.7%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kulykiv-Bilka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kulykiv-Bilka's performance.

Probiy Horodenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Probiy Horodenka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kulykiv-Bilka than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kulykiv-Bilka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Probiy Horodenka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kulykiv Bilka - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kulykiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Kulykiv (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kulykiv (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dankovych R. (C) 11. Bey A. 2. Gavrushko I. 22. Kopyl S. 8. Malskyi R. 33. Nychyporenko O. 7. Patulyak V. 45. Sasovskyi M. 21. Savoshko O. 13. Sharabura M. 5. Turko N.	31. Arkhypchuk K. (G) 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 98. Fesenko A. 13. Galonskyi V. 21. Girnyi M. 16. Guk I. 6. Ivanychuk V. 30. Lepskyi O. 19. Napuda V. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Savitskyi A.
Substitutes
26. Galadey D. 4. Kalynchuk T. 18. Kashuba M. 97. Kiktenko O. (G) 32. Klimov G. (G) 9. Lisovyk R. 77. Mudryi M. 10. Panasyuk O. 23. Volkov D.	12. Barabanov V. (G) 44. Batz M. 56. Borysenko M. 9. Burenko M. 8. Drygan B. 99. Goncharuk D. 25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 4. Kozachuk A. 14. Matveev K. 70. Yaroshenko S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Gavrushko I. ↓, Panasyuk O. ↑,
31', Girnyi M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Patulyak V. ⚽,
45+1', Patulyak V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Malskyi R. ↓, Galadey D. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Girnyi M. ⚽,
73', Sasovskyi M. 🟨,
76', Sharabura M. 🟨,
80', Girnyi M. ↓, Goncharuk D. ↑,
81', Patulyak V. ↓, Lisovyk R. ↑,
85', Lepskyi O. ↓, Yaroshenko S. ↑,
87', Bliznichenko A. ↓, Drygan B. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Persha Liga (Relegation: ) and 16th in the Relegation - Druha Liga).

Kulykiv has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Probiy has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Kulykiv may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Kulykiv is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kulykiv has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 1:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kulykiv against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kulikiv	10	5	2	3	20:11	9	17
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	8:27	-19	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kulykiv-Bilka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.09.26	Kulykiv-Bilka - Poltava	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Kulykiv-Bilka	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Kulykiv-Bilka - Veres Rivne	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.26	Kulykiv-Bilka - Kolos Kovalivka 2	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Kulykiv-Bilka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWT
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Lokomotyv Kyiv	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Probiy Horodenka	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Oleksandriya	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Probiy Horodenka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
12.04.25	Kulykiv-Bilka - Probiy Horodenka	1:3
01.09.24	Probiy Horodenka - Kulykiv-Bilka	2:0
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Probiy Horodenka - Kulykiv-Bilka	3:2 penalties

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