Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday


	Progreso		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.25	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.42	4.13	7.1
	1.42	4.18	7.11
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.37	4.45	6.8	Watch
	1.42	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)	4.21 ↑ (3.74)	6.54 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
64.5%

Draw
21.6%

Cerrito
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Progreso's performance.

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Progreso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Progreso - Cerrito Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cerrito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Progreso is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.10.23	Potencia - Progreso	2:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
19.10.23	Nacional Nueva Helvecia - Progreso	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.10.23	Progreso - Bella Vista	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Rentistas - Progreso	3:0 ✺
02.09.23	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWLT
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.10.23	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	2:6 ✺
14.10.23	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
11.10.23	Basáñez - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.10.23	Cerrito - Sud América	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.06.23	Cerrito - Progreso	1:3
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.21	Progreso - Cerrito	0:1
29.05.21	Cerrito - Progreso	0:0

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