Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)


	Rentistas		Progreso

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.2	3.06	2.22
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.2	3.1	2.14	Watch
	3.2	3	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.86)	3.08 ↑ (3)	2.14 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
28.3%

Draw
29.4%

Progreso
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

30.3%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.1%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Progreso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rentistas - Progreso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Rentistas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.09.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
28.07.23	Rentistas - Sud América	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
15.07.23	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTLL
- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.09.23	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Tacuarembó - Progreso	2:4 ✺
29.07.23	Progreso - Uruguay Montevideo	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Albion Montevideo - Progreso	3:0 ✺
14.07.23	Progreso - Sud América	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.05.23	Progreso - Rentistas	3:1
Uruguay Copa
21.09.22	Rentistas - Progreso	0:3
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.11.21	Rentistas - Progreso	0:1
06.08.21	Progreso - Rentistas	2:2
08.03.21	Rentistas - Progreso	1:3
10.11.20	Progreso - Rentistas	0:0
09.09.20	Progreso - Rentistas	2:2

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