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Current Win Probability
Provincial Osorno 54.3%
Draw 25.3%
General Velásquez 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
25.6%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
26.5%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Provincial Osorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
General Velásquez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provincial Osorno than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Retamal D. (G) 11. Antilef E. 9. Bielkiewicz D. (C) 26. Cortes B. 7. Escobar F. 28. Gonzalez D. 8. Gutierrez J. 23. Lauler G. 29. Meneses L. 19. Moreno A. 4. Navarrete E.
22. Abarca F. (G) 24. Abarca J. 26. Arriaza C. 10. Bustamante B. 3. Carrasco I. 11. Lorca J. 8. Pavez J. 14. Pizarro C. 20. Riquelme R. 28. Rivera B. 21. Villablanca M.
Substitutes
20. Castro G. 22. Cortez M. 12. Lara D. (G) 14. Namoncura S. 6. Pacheco I. 10. Pezoa M. D. A. 3. Pino D.
17. Alfaro M. 12. Cerda J. (G) 18. Muza J. 6. Pinto B. 15. Torres L. 9. Vargas L. 27. Zamorano F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Rivera B. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Cortes B. ↓, Namoncura S. ↑,
53', Escobar F. 🟨,
59', Escobar F. ↓, Pezoa M. D. A. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Pezoa M. D. A. ⚽,
66', Antilef E. ↓, Pino D. ↑,
66', Riquelme R. ↓, Vargas L. ↑,
66', Lorca J. ↓, Alfaro M. ↑,
70', Arriaza C. 🟨,
83', Arriaza C. ↓, Zamorano F. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Navarrete E. ⚽,
90+3', Lauler G. 🟨,
90+5', Carrasco I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provincial Osorno won 2.
In recent matches, Provincial Osorno has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
General Velásquez is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
General Velásquez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Provincial Osorno is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Provincial Osorno won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Provincial Osorno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Watch
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Retamal D. (G) 
Bielkiewicz D. (C) 
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