Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Puebla de la Calzada		Arroyo

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.2
	1.78	3.35	4.2
	1.8	3.37	4.26
	1.77	3.48	4.27	Watch
	1.75	3.44	4.22
	1.78	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	4.06 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla de la Calzada
50.5%

Draw
27%

Arroyo
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

21.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puebla de la Calzada's performance.

Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puebla de la Calzada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arroyo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Puebla de la Calzada - Arroyo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Puebla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arroyo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Puebla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Puebla will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Puebla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.03.25	Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Santa Amalia	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Calamonte - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Villafranca - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTTL
- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.03.25	CD Extremadura - Arroyo	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	Jaraíz - Arroyo	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Arroyo - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Arroyo - Llerenense	1:5 ✺
02.02.25	Olivenza - Arroyo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
27.10.24	Arroyo - Puebla de la Calzada	2:0

Puebla de la Calzada - Arroyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide