Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Arroyo		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	8.8	4.2	1.34
	10.98	5.05	1.23
	10.92	4.9	1.26	Watch
	12	5.35	1.21
	10	5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.54 ↑ (6.4)	4.9 ↑ (3.9)	1.25 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arroyo
8.6%

Draw
18.6%

Badajoz
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

23.4%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

22.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arroyo's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arroyo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arroyo - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Bermudez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 2, Bermudez J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Arroyo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Badajoz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arroyo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Badajoz have a series of guest games.

In this match Badajoz is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.02.25	Arroyo - Llerenense	1:5 ✺
02.02.25	Olivenza - Arroyo	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Arroyo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Amalia - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTLLW
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.02.25	Badajoz - Diocesano	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Llerenense - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Azuaga - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Olivenza - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
12.01.25	Castuera - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.10.24	Badajoz - Arroyo	3:0

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