Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Moralo		Puebla de la Calzada

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.15
	4.51	3.09	1.87	Watch
	1.74	3.44	4.23
	1.92	3.4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.96)	3.31 ↑ (3.25)	3.45 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moralo
40.5%

Draw
30.4%

Puebla de la Calzada
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.9%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moralo's form might have worsened.

Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moralo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Moralo - Puebla de la Calzada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Moralo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moralo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).

Including home match between the teams, Moralo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.11.25	Jaraíz - Moralo	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Villanovense - Moralo	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Moralo - Cabeza del Buey	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Llerenense - Moralo	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Moralo - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWLTW
- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.11.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Villafranca - Puebla de la Calzada	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Santa Amalia - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.05.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo	2:3
12.01.25	Moralo - Puebla de la Calzada	5:2

Moralo - Puebla de la Calzada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide