Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Pueblonuevo		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.9	1.43
	6.42	4.17	1.45
	6.39	4.1	1.46
	6.5	3.9	1.44
	6.73	4.1	1.41
	6.5	3.8	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.51 ↓ (6.56)	4 ↓ (4.03)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pueblonuevo
14%

Draw
22.8%

Don Benito
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

22.5%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

21.8%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Pueblonuevo - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Copete N. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent performances by Pueblonuevo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Don Benito is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Don Benito has had a series of home games.

In this match, Don Benito is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Pueblonuevo	5	0	3	2	5:10	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
18.01.26	Santa Amalia - Pueblonuevo	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Azuaga - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Pueblonuevo - Gévora	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Calamonte - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Pueblonuevo - Puebla de la Calzada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLTLW
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
18.01.26	Don Benito - Montijo	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Don Benito - Moralo	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Diocesano - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Don Benito - Villafranca	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Don Benito - Jerez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
03.03.24	Don Benito - Pueblonuevo	1:0
15.10.23	Pueblonuevo - Don Benito	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.09.17	Don Benito - Pueblonuevo	3:1

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