Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 23Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Pueblonuevo |
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Montijo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.05 |
3.55 |
1.72 |
|
 |
3.96 |
3.83 |
1.74 |
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4 |
3.4 |
1.73 |
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 |
4.32 |
3.65 |
1.68 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.08 ↑
(3.54) |
3.61 ↑
(3.33) |
1.72 ↓
(1.94) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pueblonuevo
22.2% | Draw
25.1% | Montijo
52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montijo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-3%)Pueblonuevo - Montijo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 90+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.Pueblonuevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Pueblonuevo has had a series of away games. In this match, Montijo is considered a favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
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| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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