Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 23Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Llerenense |
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Diocesano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.75 |
3.2 |
4.35 |
|
 |
1.71 |
3.52 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.75 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
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1.71 |
3.32 |
4.65 |
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1.88 |
3.17 |
3.97 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.88) |
3.28 ↑
(3.17) |
4.39 ↑
(3.97) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Llerenense
51.6% | Draw
27.7% | Diocesano
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)Llerenense - Diocesano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Javi Roman ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Calvo Tardio J. A. ⚽,
- 38', 3 - 0, Millan R. G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1.Llerenense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Diocesano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Llerenense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Llerenense is seen as the favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Llerenense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 12.10.25 | Diocesano - Llerenense | 2:1 | | 06.04.25 | Diocesano - Llerenense | 0:2 | | 24.11.24 | Llerenense - Diocesano | 0:1 | | 09.01.22 | Diocesano - Llerenense | 1:1 | | 11.09.21 | Llerenense - Diocesano | 0:2 | | 08.11.20 | Llerenense - Diocesano | 1:3 | | 14.12.19 | Llerenense - Diocesano | 0:2 |
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