Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	5.15
	1.62	3.41	5.72	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.6	3.34	5.7
	1.58	3.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	5.46 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
56.5%

Draw
26.9%

Puente Genil
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

27.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

UCAM Murcia - Puente Genil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Soto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 2 - 0, Soto A. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Zaca ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Zaca ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

In recent matches, UCAM Murcia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Puente Genil is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, UCAM Murcia is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UCAM Murcia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Puente Genil	5	1	1	3	5:5	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.12.25	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Real Jaén - UCAM Murcia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Puente Genil - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Minera - Puente Genil	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Puente Genil - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Estepona - Puente Genil	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Puente Genil - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Puente Genil - UCAM Murcia	1:1

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