The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pulpileño 33.4%
Draw 30.2%
Santomera 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
27.8%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pulpileño's form might have worsened.
Santomera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santomera's recent form is better than expected.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 🟥,
17', 1 - 0, Pinto L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
52', 1 - 2, ⚽,
57', 2 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Pulpileño may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pulpileño holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Pulpileño has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 1.2:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pulpileño against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).