Match Info

Date: 18 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa (Villahermosa)

Referee: Suarez M. A. (Mex)


	Pumas Tabasco		Atlante

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.9
	3.7	3.15	1.91
	3.7	3.2	1.9
	4.13	3.26	2.01
	3.6	3	2
	3.74	3.02	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.88)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	1.96 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pumas Tabasco
24.2%

Draw
29.2%

Atlante
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28.7%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

29.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pumas Tabasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pumas Tabasco's form might have worsened.

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pumas Tabasco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	12.5%	83.3%

Pumas Tabasco - Atlante Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Atlante will win (votes: 20 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlante: 68.4% – 98.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pumas Tabasco won 0.

Recent matches Pumas Tabasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlante in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlante will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pumas Tabasco won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Pumas Tabasco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
03.08.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Pumas Tabasco	4:3 ✺
27.07.22	Pumas Tabasco - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Atlético Morelia - Pumas Tabasco	1:1 ✺
14.07.22	Pumas Tabasco - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTTL
- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.08.22	Atlante - Atlético Morelia	1:0 ✺
05.08.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlante	1:3 ✺
26.07.22	Atlante - Dorados	3:0 ✺
20.07.22	Raya2 Expansión - Atlante	0:0 ✺
13.07.22	Atlante - Cancún	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.02.22	Atlante - Pumas Tabasco	0:0
08.09.21	Pumas Tabasco - Atlante	0:2
11.04.21	Atlante - Pumas Tabasco	1:0
06.12.20	Atlante - Pumas Tabasco	0:0
03.12.20	Pumas Tabasco - Atlante	1:1
30.09.20	Pumas Tabasco - Atlante	0:4

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