Match Info

Date: 9 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa (Villahermosa)

Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)


	Pumas Tabasco		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.3	3.2	2.04
	3.15	3.25	2.08
	3.42	3.43	2.17
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.08	3.28	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.14)	3.24 ↑ (3.05)	2.11 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pumas Tabasco
28.5%

Draw
28.2%

Alacranes de Durango
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pumas Tabasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pumas Tabasco's form might have worsened.

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alacranes de Durango's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pumas Tabasco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alacranes de Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	21.1%	63.2%

Pumas Tabasco - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alacranes de Durango: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Pumas Tabasco is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.08.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Pumas Tabasco	4:3 ✺
27.07.22	Pumas Tabasco - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Atlético Morelia - Pumas Tabasco	1:1 ✺
14.07.22	Pumas Tabasco - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:2 ✺
08.07.22	Celaya - Pumas Tabasco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLL
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
02.08.22	Alacranes de Durango - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
28.07.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
20.07.22	Alacranes de Durango - Venados	1:1 ✺
12.07.22	Correcaminos UAT - Alacranes de Durango	5:3 ✺
06.07.22	Alacranes de Durango - Atlético La Paz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTLT

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