Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín "Coruco" Díaz (Zacatepec)

Referee: Gurrea D. (Mex)


	Atlante		Dorados

	1	X	2
	1.12	7.75	14
	1.16	6.7	12.5
	1.17	7.79	16.57
	1.17	7.24	14.18	Watch
	1.14	7	15
	1.2	6.25	13
	1.15	5.8	10.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.18)	6.93 ↑ (6.41)	13.68 ↓ (15.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlante
79.9%

Draw
13.3%

Dorados
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.2%

14.6%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlante - Dorados Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Atlante (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlante (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barragan R. (G) 10. Alonzo J. 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 8. Gonzalez R. 21. Ibarra J. 5. Meza H. (C) 24. Pizzuto E. 9. Puente L.	13. Barrera G. (G) 18. Cervantes S. 29. Coronel O. 11. Garcia L. 6. Guajardo D. 3. Manriquez S. 20. Osuna D. 9. Rengifo J. 23. Reyes J. (C) 4. Ruiz L. 2. Yanez S.
Substitutes
26. Beltran R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 15. Charcopa J. 7. Garcia M. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 16. Gonzalez J. 19. Gonzalez S. 11. Hernandez I. 34. Jimenez E. 20. Tovar J.	7. Alvarez J. 21. Castro J. (G) 12. Egana A. 5. Flores A. 8. Galicia C. 22. Gonzalez Rodriguez W. 16. Martinez D. 31. Ramos A. 28. Suarez L. 33. Vazquez O.
Coaches
Carbajal R.	Ramirez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Guajardo D. 🟨,
32', Yanez S. 🟨,
35', Cervantes S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pizzuto E. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
46', Escobar A. 🟨,
54', Puente L. 🟨,
56', Cruz D. 🟨,
57', Coronel O. ↓, Vazquez O. ↑,
60', Cruz D. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
60', Puente L. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
68', Manriquez S. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Alonzo J. ⚽,
71', Ibarra J. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
72', Garcia L. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
72', Osuna D. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
72', Reyes J. 🟨,
74', Carrera J. N. 🟨,
75', Yanez S. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
85', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
88', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.

Atlante is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dorados is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlante is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:19. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dorados de Sinaloa	11	3	4	4	20:20	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.03.26	Tlaxcala - Atlante	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlante - Atlético Morelia	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Irapuato - Atlante	0:5 ✺
21.02.26	Atlante - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTWW
- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.03.26	Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Jaiba Brava - Dorados	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	3:2 ✺
20.02.26	Dorados - Atlético Morelia	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Irapuato - Dorados	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.10.25	Dorados - Atlante	0:0
01.03.25	Dorados - Atlante	1:4
10.11.24	Atlante - Dorados	3:0
07.11.24	Dorados - Atlante	3:1
13.09.24	Atlante - Dorados	4:0
28.03.24	Dorados - Atlante	0:3
31.08.23	Atlante - Dorados	3:0

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