Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín Díaz (Zacatepec)

Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	ESPN 4
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
World	Disney+


	Atlante		Celaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.72	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.57	4.82	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.8
	1.68	3.64	4.71	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	4.64 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlante
54.2%

Draw
26%

Celaya
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlante's performance.

Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Atlante - Celaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Forastiero N. (G) 3. Cruz D. 28. Elbis 13. Garcia Pardo M. 8. Gonzalez R. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. 9. Moragrega V. 2. Reyes F. 4. Villanueva C.	1. Hernandez H. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 7. Barragan M. 2. Cervantes D. 6. Del Angel E. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 14. Manriquez S. 4. Munoz J. 11. Tejeda D. 20. Tovar J.
Substitutes
37. Bello B. 32. Cabanas A. (G) 15. Cantu E. 30. Espinoza E. 6. Galvan P. 20. Hernandez J. 19. Martinez P. 17. Mejia L. 162. Reyes M. 38. Tenorio J.	25. Blanco D. 156. Chaurand K. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 16. García J. 21. Hernandez P. 3. Monreal E. 5. Topete N.
Coaches
Fuentes M.	Blanco Soto S. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Del Angel E. (Own goal),
20', Cruz D. 🟨,
22', Tejeda D. 🟨,
29', Cervantes D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Moragrega V. ⚽,
61', Tejeda D. ↓, García J. ↑,
64', Jimenez E. ↓, Tenorio J. ↑,
65', Meza H. ↓, Cantu E. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Cruz D. ⚽,
80', Cervantes D. ↓, Monreal E. ↑,
80', Del Angel E. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
83', Ibarra J. ↓, Galvan P. ↑,
84', Gamboa J. 🟨,
87', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
88', Tenorio J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlante won 2.

Celaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlante is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlante won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:22 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlante won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlante FC
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Atlante - UNAM	0:1 ✺
23.12.24	Atlante - Puebla	1:0 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.11.24	Atlante - Celaya	0:3 ✺
14.11.24	Celaya - Atlante	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Atlante - Dorados	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTW
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.11.24	Tapatío - Celaya	3:2 ✺
20.11.24	Celaya - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Atlante - Celaya	0:3 ✺
14.11.24	Celaya - Atlante	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Celaya - Venados	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.11.24	Atlante - Celaya	0:3
14.11.24	Celaya - Atlante	1:1
25.09.24	Celaya - Atlante	0:1
14.01.24	Atlante - Celaya	2:1
22.08.23	Celaya - Atlante	0:0
15.02.23	Atlante - Celaya	1:0
12.11.22	Celaya - Atlante	1:3 ET

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