Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa (Villahermosa)


	Pumas Tabasco		Dorados

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.05	3.3	2.18
	3.05	3.25	2.12
	3.23	3.44	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.08	3.3	2.15
	3.1	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.9)	3.27 ↑ (3.12)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pumas Tabasco
29.5%

Draw
28%

Dorados
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28.3%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pumas Tabasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Pumas Tabasco - Dorados Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Dorados will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dorados: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Pumas Tabasco has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dorados is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Dorados to win the game is with odds 2.34.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pumas Tabasco won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Pumas Tabasco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.09.22	Tlaxcala - Pumas Tabasco	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Pumas Tabasco - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:1 ✺
21.09.22	Atlético La Paz - Pumas Tabasco	6:1 ✺
13.09.22	Pumas Tabasco - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
06.09.22	Correcaminos UAT - Pumas Tabasco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
28.09.22	Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Cancún - Dorados	1:2 ✺
21.09.22	Dorados - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:1 ✺
15.09.22	Correcaminos UAT - Dorados	0:2 ✺
07.09.22	Dorados - Raya2 Expansión	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.02.22	Dorados - Pumas Tabasco	4:1
24.08.21	Pumas Tabasco - Dorados	0:2
09.03.21	Dorados - Pumas Tabasco	1:1
06.10.20	Pumas Tabasco - Dorados	2:2

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