Match Info

Date: 27 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Tlahuicole (Tlaxcala)


	Tlaxcala		Pumas Tabasco

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.4
	2	3.05	3.5
	2.04	3.05	3.4
	2.08	3.28	3.86
	2	3	3.6
	1.97	3.26	3.58
	2.07	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	3.11 ↓ (3.14)	3.54 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlaxcala
45.1%

Draw
29.2%

Pumas Tabasco
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Pumas Tabasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	35.7%	35.7%

Tlaxcala - Pumas Tabasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tlaxcala will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pumas Tabasco: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 18).

Recent matches Tlaxcala is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pumas Tabasco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tlaxcala will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tlaxcala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.09.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
20.09.22	Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:1 ✺
13.09.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
08.09.22	Tapatío - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Tlaxcala - Atlante	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTTL
- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.09.22	Pumas Tabasco - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:1 ✺
21.09.22	Atlético La Paz - Pumas Tabasco	6:1 ✺
13.09.22	Pumas Tabasco - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
06.09.22	Correcaminos UAT - Pumas Tabasco	1:0 ✺
31.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Tapatío	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.03.22	Pumas Tabasco - Tlaxcala	0:0
12.10.21	Tlaxcala - Pumas Tabasco	1:1
23.03.21	Tlaxcala - Pumas Tabasco	2:3
15.11.20	Pumas Tabasco - Tlaxcala	0:1

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