Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dorados (Culiacán)

Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dorados		Leones Negros UdeG

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.35	2.48
	2.58	3.5	2.67
	2.54	3.62	2.54
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.49	3.28	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (3.24)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	2.53 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorados
36.4%

Draw
27.2%

Leones Negros UdeG
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.7%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

23.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorados's performance.

Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorados (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Castro J. (G) 18. Cervantes S. 29. Coronel O. 11. Garcia L. 6. Guajardo D. (C) 3. Manriquez S. 20. Osuna D. 9. Rengifo J. 4. Ruiz L. 28. Suarez L. 2. Yanez S.	25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 9. Camacho Lastra R. E. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 22. Gil O. 88. Gonzalez O. 34. Hernandez S. A. 93. Lara M. 4. Ledesma A. (C) 18. Munoz D. 2. Sanchez J. 12. Villa O.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez J. 13. Barrera G. (G) 5. Flores A. 8. Galicia C. 22. Gonzalez Rodriguez W. 16. Martinez D. 35. Porozo J. 31. Ramos A. 14. Sol M. 33. Vazquez O.	24. Aguayo J. 10. Brigido J. 20. Flores B. 3. Flores L. 82. Meza U. 11. Perez J. 7. Rivera E. 86. Torres D. 87. Valenzuela M. 98. Venegas S.
Coaches
Ramirez F.	Sosa L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Villa O. 🟨,
36', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
39', Manriquez S. 🟨,
40', Cervantes S. 🟨,
45+1', Cantu Rodriguez O. M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Cervantes S. ⚽,
45+7', Osuna D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Coronel O. ↓, Vazquez O. ↑,
55', Munoz D. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
55', Lara M. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
67', Rengifo J. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
71', Suarez L. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
71', Gonzalez O. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
72', Gil O. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Camacho Lastra R. E. ⚽,
83', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
85', Yanez S. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
86', Garcia L. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
86', Camacho Lastra R. E. 🟨,
90+2', Vazquez O. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 0.

Dorados has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leones Negros UdeG's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dorados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros	11	7	2	2	27:16	11	23
11	Dorados de Sinaloa	11	3	4	4	20:20	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.03.26	Jaiba Brava - Dorados	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	3:2 ✺
20.02.26	Dorados - Atlético Morelia	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Irapuato - Dorados	5:0 ✺
07.02.26	Dorados - Atlético La Paz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
04.03.26	Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	5:2 ✺
30.01.26	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
04.10.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados	2:0
19.01.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados	4:0
03.08.24	Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG	0:1
20.03.24	Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG	1:2
14.09.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados	4:0
20.04.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados	2:0
28.09.22	Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2

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