The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dorados 36.4%
Draw 27.2%
Leones Negros UdeG 36.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.3%
26.7%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
25.2%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorados's performance.
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones Negros UdeG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
21. Castro J. (G) 18. Cervantes S. 29. Coronel O. 11. Garcia L. 6. Guajardo D. (C) 3. Manriquez S. 20. Osuna D. 9. Rengifo J. 4. Ruiz L. 28. Suarez L. 2. Yanez S.
25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 9. Camacho Lastra R. E. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 22. Gil O. 88. Gonzalez O. 34. Hernandez S. A. 93. Lara M. 4. Ledesma A. (C) 18. Munoz D. 2. Sanchez J. 12. Villa O.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez J. 13. Barrera G. (G) 5. Flores A. 8. Galicia C. 22. Gonzalez Rodriguez W. 16. Martinez D. 35. Porozo J. 31. Ramos A. 14. Sol M. 33. Vazquez O.
24. Aguayo J. 10. Brigido J. 20. Flores B. 3. Flores L. 82. Meza U. 11. Perez J. 7. Rivera E. 86. Torres D. 87. Valenzuela M. 98. Venegas S.
Coaches
Ramirez F.
Sosa L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Villa O. 🟨,
36', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
39', Manriquez S. 🟨,
40', Cervantes S. 🟨,
45+1', Cantu Rodriguez O. M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Cervantes S. ⚽,
45+7', Osuna D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Coronel O. ↓, Vazquez O. ↑,
55', Munoz D. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
55', Lara M. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
67', Rengifo J. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
71', Suarez L. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
71', Gonzalez O. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
72', Gil O. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Camacho Lastra R. E. ⚽,
83', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
85', Yanez S. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
86', Garcia L. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
86', Camacho Lastra R. E. 🟨,
90+2', Vazquez O. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 0.
Dorados has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Leones Negros UdeG's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Dorados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
North Central America
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Castro J. (G) 
Coronel O. 
Rengifo J. 
Suarez L. 
Gil O. 
Porozo J. 
