Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 18

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	14:45	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Poland	14:45	CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	15:45	Kyivstar TV


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.8
	4	3.75	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.8	1.84
	4.23	3.82	1.81	Watch
	4	3.7	1.73
	4.12	3.84	1.78	Watch
	4	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.63)	3.76 ↑ (3.63)	1.8 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
22.8%

Draw
25%

Jagiellonia Białystok
52.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Komar K. (G) 5. Stepien K. 27. Solowiej L. 4. Szymonowicz D. 33. Abramowicz D. 70. Hajda W. 14. Serafin J. (C) 12. Stepien M. 6. Lee Jin-Hyun 11. Cholewiak M. 35. Kosidis M.	1. Stryjek M. (G) 16. Sacek M. 17. Dieguez A. 72. Skrzypczak M. 5. Polak C. 14. Kubicki J. 8. Nene 99. Hansen K. 11. Imaz J. (C) 21. Churlinov D. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
24. Blagaic J. 45. Kidric R. 8. Mrozinski P. 17. Radecki M. 67. Revenco I. 10. Tomalski H. 16. Walski M. 3. Yakuba R.	9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 22. Kovacik P. 29. Listkowski M. 39. Nguiamba A. 82. Ribeiro Silva T. 6. Romanczuk T. 3. Stojinovic D. 65. Suchocki J. (G) 20. Villar Miki
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Cholewiak M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Stepien M. ↓, Blagaic J. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Nene ⚽,
74', Cholewiak M. ↓, Mrozinski P. ↑,
74', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
74', Kubicki J. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
74', Hajda W. ↓, Yakuba R. ↑,
74', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
80', Kosidis M. 🟨,
83', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
84', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
90+3', Blagaic J. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Puszcza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jagiellonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Puszcza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jagiellonia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1.3:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Cup
03.12.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.11.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
25.11.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Widzew Łódź	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lech Poznań	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWWLW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Cup
05.12.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.12.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.11.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
16.12.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:3
29.07.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:1

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