Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.9
				Watch
	3.91	3.38	1.83	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.47)	3.38 ↑ (3.19)	1.88 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
24.1%

Draw
27.1%

Lechia Gdańsk
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

26.1%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Lechia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Puszcza (votes: 1 - 50%). Lechia (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Perchel M. (G) 23. Przybylko K. 34. Piekarski A. 27. Solowiej L. (C) 8. Mrozinski P. 16. Walski M. 13. Kanach R. 11. Korczakowski O. 7. Stepien M. 18. Francois E. 21. Basse A.	18. Paulsen A. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T. 15. Dyachuk M. 3. Olsson E. 23. Kalahur M. 5. Zhelizko I. (C) 99. Neugebauer T. 79. Sezonienko K. 72. Awad M. 7. Viunnyk B. 90. Kurminowski D.
Substitutes
67. Barczak N. 17. Iwao K. 2. Kasolik K. 97. Kowal W. (G) 88. Nascimento F. 28. Pieprzyca I. 22. Simon C. 19. Stec J. 5. Stepien K.	89. Bobcek T. 8. Cirkovic A. 21. Glogowski M. 10. Kapic R. 2. Kludka B. 11. Mena C. 4. Pllana B. 80. Rodin M. 1. Weirauch S. (G)
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Carver J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Solowiej L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Korczakowski O. ↓, Simon C. ↑,
61', Solowiej L. ↓, Barczak N. ↑,
61', Francois E. ↓, Nascimento F. ↑,
62', Sezonienko K. ↓, Mena C. ↑,
62', Viunnyk B. ↓, Cirkovic A. ↑,
62', Kurminowski D. ↓, Bobcek T. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Dyachuk M. ⚽, Zhelizko I. (A),
66', Basse A. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
74', Przybylko K. ↓, Stepien K. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Simon C. ⚽, Iwao K. (A),
84', Kanach R. 🟨,
90+4', Walski M. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
99', Awad M. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
110', Neugebauer T. ↓, Kapic R. ↑,
115', 1 - 2, Bobcek T. (Pen),
120+2', 1 - 3, Cirkovic A. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
120+3', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lechia has had a series of away games.

Lechia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
24.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:3 ✺
20.10.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wisła Kraków	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Polonia Bytom - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTTW
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Piast Gliwice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
23.02.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:2
16.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	4:1
Polish Cup
09.02.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	3:1
21.09.16	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 penalties
12.08.15	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:5

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