The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Piast Gliwice 41.2%
Draw 28.4%
Lechia Gdańsk 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
27.2%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
27.7%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
20%
10%
Piast Gliwice - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Lechia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Lechia (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lechia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Plach F. (G) 55. Twumasi E. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 5. Juande 29. Drapinski I. 17. Boisgard Q. 10. Dziczek P. 31. Lesniak O. 77. Jirka E. 63. Barkovskiy G. 11. Sanca L.
18. Paulsen A. (G) 2. Kludka B. 15. Dyachuk M. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 11. Mena C. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 8. Cirkovic A. 89. Bobcek T. 99. Neugebauer T.
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 6. Chrapek M. 7. Felix J. 36. Lewicki J. 22. Mokwa T. 23. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L. 79. Rychta D. (G) 33. Szymanski K. (G) 20. Tomasiewicz G. 80. Vallejo H.
72. Awad M. 21. Glogowski M. 23. Kalahur M. 90. Kurminowski D. 3. Olsson E. 4. Pllana B. 79. Sezonienko K. 88. Szczepankiewicz B. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T.
Coaches
Molder M.
Carver J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Zhelizko I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kludka B. ↓, Olsson E. ↑,
48', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Barkovskiy G. ⚽, Sanca L. (A),
54', Kapic R. 🟨,
63', Cirkovic A. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
64', Neugebauer T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
68', Boisgard Q. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
68', Jirka E. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
77', Czerwinski J. 🟨,
78', Drapinski I. 🟨,
83', Sanca L. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Bobcek T. ⚽,
90+6', Bobcek T. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 3.
In recent matches, Piast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lechia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Piast could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A.
(Red Card)
Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Lechia: Vojtko M.
(Injury)
Zhelizko I.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).