The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Raków Częstochowa 56.2%
Draw 24.6%
Lechia Gdańsk 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
23.4%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
22.7%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
28.6%
0%
Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raków Częstochowa will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
48. Zych O. (G) 66. Konstantopoulos A. 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. (C) 11. Adriano 88. Barath P. 23. Struski K. 20. Silva J. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 99. Rondic I. 8. Pienko T.
18. Paulsen A. (G) 2. Kludka B. 4. Pllana B. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 11. Mena C. 8. Cirkovic A. 89. Bobcek T. 99. Neugebauer T.
Substitutes
19. Ameyaw M. 18. Brunes J. 5. Bulat M. 9. Makuch P. 44. Mircetic B. 6. Repka O. 97. Seck I. 1. Trelowski K. (G)
72. Awad M. 15. Dyachuk M. 21. Glogowski M. 23. Kalahur M. 90. Kurminowski D. 3. Olsson E. 79. Sezonienko K. 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T.
Coaches
Papszun M.
Carver J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
24', Struski K. 🟨,
27', Pllana B. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Bobcek T. ⚽,
37', Struski K. 🟨,
40', Vojtko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Neugebauer T. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
63', Silva J. ↓, Ameyaw M. ↑,
64', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
64', Rondic I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
69', Cirkovic A. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
76', Adriano ↓, Brunes J. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Pienko T. ⚽, Bulat M. (A),
85', Pienko T. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
86', Kludka B. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 5.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lechia has had a series of away games.
In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tudor F.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Raków won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Raków Częstochowa - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.35%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Zych O. (G) 
Konstantopoulos A. 
Racovitan B. 
Adriano 
Barath P. 
Diaby-Fadiga L. 
Rondic I. 
Paulsen A. (G) 
Pllana B. 
Rodin M. 
Vojtko M. 
Zhelizko I. 
Mena C. 
Cirkovic A. 
Brunes J. 
Seck I. 
Awad M. 
Olsson E. 
Carver J. 
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