The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Puszcza Niepołomice 36.6%
Draw 26.3%
Lechia Gdańsk 37.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.7%
26.3%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
26%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Kowal W. (G) 14. Szabaciuk F. 2. Kasolik K. 6. Kocar O. 33. Strajnar M. 8. Nascimento F. (C) 5. Stepien K. 17. Iwao K. 53. Trubeha A. 10. Cholewiak M. 9. Gjoni A.
1. Holewinski A. (G) 76. Mavraj I. 4. Lopata K. 21. Beskorovaynyi D. (C) 3. Malov D. 30. Mena J. 6. Ivanov H. 88. Szczepankiewicz B. 7. Dodaj K. 9. Glogowski M. 13. Shakh A.
Substitutes
1. Andrzejczak F. (G) 21. Gerstenstein O. 13. Jaworski F. 77. Kaminski W. 11. Korczakowski O. 99. Kurzeja B. 28. Pieprzyca I. 64. Wolowiec K.
8. Adkonis J. 17. Bambecki I. 97. Blanuta V. 72. Bula W. (G) 40. Madej W. 90. Sonko B. 33. Wojtowicz T. 23. Ziolkowski A.
Coaches
Tulacz T.
Lupashko V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Szczepankiewicz B. 🟨,
45+2', Cholewiak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kocar O. ↓, Wolowiec K. ↑,
53', Iwao K. 🟨,
58', Ivanov H. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
58', Mena J. ↓, Wojtowicz T. ↑,
58', Glogowski M. ↓, Blanuta V. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Trubeha A. ⚽, Nascimento F. (A),
71', Trubeha A. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
71', Iwao K. ↓, Gerstenstein O. ↑,
80', Dodaj K. ↓, Bambecki I. ↑,
80', Szczepankiewicz B. ↓, Sonko B. ↑,
80', Gjoni A. 🟨,
83', Gjoni A. ↓, Kurzeja B. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Kasolik K. ⚽,
90+2', Nascimento F. ↓, Pieprzyca I. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Shakh A. ⚽, Mavraj I. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Division 2 and 4th in the Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Puszcza (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lechia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Puszcza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Puszcza has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Puszcza has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:11 (averaging 2.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puszcza against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 2.2:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Lechia Gdansk
12
6
1
5
22:19
3
19
16
Puszcza
12
4
0
8
13:17
-4
12
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Lechia Gdansk: 10.77% Puszcza: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Lechia Gdańsk - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.