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Current Win Probability
Puszcza Niepołomice 43.3%
Draw 27.5%
Stal Mielec 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
26.5%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
26%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
21.4%
7.1%
Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Puszcza Niepołomice will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Perchel M. (G) 67. Barczak N. 2. Kasolik K. 5. Stepien K. 23. Przybylko K. 13. Kanach R. 19. Stec J. 17. Iwao K. 88. Nascimento F. (C) 10. Cholewiak M. 22. Simon C.
1. Matys M. (G) 27. Diez A. 44. Puerto I. 15. Senger M. 22. Kavcic M. 18. Wlazlo P. 10. Domanski M. (C) 23. Sommerfeld K. 20. Szeliga B. 9. Losada M. 90. Kruszelnicki P.
Substitutes
21. Basse A. 11. Korczakowski O. 97. Kowal W. (G) 8. Mrozinski P. 34. Piekarski A. 9. Smiglewski K. 27. Solowiej L. 7. Stepien M. 16. Walski M.
13. Jalocha K. (G) 3. Kowalik P. 5. Matynia H. 17. Mazurek D. 8. Niedzwiedz N. 11. Odolak K. 6. Pisek J. 77. Sadlocha K.
Coaches
Tulacz T.
Mamrot I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Cholewiak M. ⚽, Przybylko K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Pisek J. ↑,
56', Iwao K. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. ⚽, Pisek J. (A),
65', Nascimento F. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
65', Kanach R. ↓, Walski M. ↑,
65', Senger M. 🟨,
67', Barczak N. 🟨,
68', Przybylko K. ↓, Mrozinski P. ↑,
73', Losada M. 🟨,
76', Kasolik K. 🟨,
78', Kavcic M. ↓, Matynia H. ↑,
83', Iwao K. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
83', Simon C. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
84', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
89', Szeliga B. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
89', Domanski M. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
90+2', Stepien K. 🟨,
90+4', Diez A. 🟨,
90+4', Smiglewski K. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 2.
In recent matches, Puszcza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stal Mielec is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Puszcza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
Poland
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Perchel M. (G) 
Iwao K. 
Nascimento F. (C) 
Simon C. 
Diez A. 
Senger M. 
Kavcic M. 
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