Match Info

I Liqa - Round 25

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Qaradağ Lökbatan		MOIK Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.97	3.4	3.29
				Watch
	2.01	3.28	3.37
	2.6	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.6)	3.19 ↑ (3)	3.09 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qaradağ Lökbatan
41.7%

Draw
28.6%

MOIK Baku
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qaradağ Lökbatan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qaradağ Lökbatan's performance.

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qaradağ Lökbatan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qaradağ Lökbatan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Qaradağ Lökbatan - MOIK Baku Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Qaradağ (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Allahquliyev S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qaradağ won 1.

Qaradağ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

MOIK's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Qaradağ won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Qaradağ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qaradağ Lökbatan
Azerbaijan First Division
02.05.25	İmişli - Qaradağ Lökbatan	3:1 ✺
24.04.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Difai Ağsu	3:1 ✺
17.04.25	Baku Sporting - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:1 ✺
10.04.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Mingachevir	0:0 ✺
03.04.25	Cəbrayıl - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWTT
- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
02.05.25	Zagatala - MOIK Baku	1:0 ✺
10.04.25	MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	İmişli - MOIK Baku	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
06.03.25	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2
11.12.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - MOIK Baku	3:0
25.04.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - MOIK Baku	1:1
21.02.24	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2
02.11.23	Qaradağ Lökbatan - MOIK Baku	1:1
09.05.23	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:0

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