Match Info

I Liqa - Round 21

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday


	Qaradağ Lökbatan		Mingachevir

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.05	2.6
				Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.55	3.18	2.48
	2.55	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.12)	3.05 ↑ (2.8)	2.6 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qaradağ Lökbatan
35.6%

Draw
29.6%

Mingachevir
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

32.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

34.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qaradağ Lökbatan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qaradağ Lökbatan's form might have worsened.

Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mingachevir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qaradağ Lökbatan than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qaradağ Lökbatan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mingachevir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Qaradağ Lökbatan - Mingachevir Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mingachevir (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mingachevir (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Qaradağ won 2.

Recent matches Qaradağ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mingachevir is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Qaradağ won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Qaradağ won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qaradağ Lökbatan
Azerbaijan First Division
03.04.25	Cəbrayıl - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:0 ✺
27.03.25	Zagatala - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:0 ✺
13.03.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Karvan	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2 ✺
28.02.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - İmişli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTTTL
- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
03.04.25	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:2 ✺
28.03.25	Gabala - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	İmişli - Mingachevir	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
07.02.25	Mingachevir - Qaradağ Lökbatan	1:1
16.10.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Mingachevir	0:0
22.05.24	Mingachevir - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2
07.12.23	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Mingachevir	3:0
21.09.23	Mingachevir - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:2
16.05.23	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Mingachevir	1:0

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