Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: Azerbaijan Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday


	Qaradağ Lökbatan		Səbail

	1	X	2
	15	7.4	1.11	Watch
	17.07	8.57	1.08
	12	7.5	1.11	Watch
	17	6.5	1.14
	18	7.6	1.1
	15	7.4	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.68 ↑ (8.12)	7.5 ↑ (4.1)	1.11 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qaradağ Lökbatan
5.8%

Draw
12.1%

Səbail
82.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

22.2%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

13%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qaradağ Lökbatan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qaradağ Lökbatan's form might have worsened.

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Səbail's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qaradağ Lökbatan than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qaradağ Lökbatan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-43%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Səbail, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Qaradağ Lökbatan - Səbail Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Qaradağ will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Səbail will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Rustamov E. ⚽,
62', 0 - 2, Quliyev N. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qaradağ Lökbatan
Azerbaijan First Division
27.11.24	İmişli - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Difai Ağsu	4:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
30.10.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Karvan	3:0 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
25.10.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Baku Sporting	2:3 ✺
16.10.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Mingachevir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LWWLT
- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
29.11.24	Sabah - Səbail	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Səbail - Turan Tovuz	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Kapaz - Səbail	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Səbail - Sumgayit	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

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