Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Bank Respublika Arena (Masazır)

Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sabah		Səbail

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.47	3.9	6	Watch
	1.49	4.08	6.42
	1.47	3.99	6.36	Watch
	1.42	3.92	7.14	Watch
	1.47	3.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	3.93 ↑ (3.87)	6.28 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sabah
62.3%

Draw
23.2%

Səbail
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

23.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

17.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Sabah - Səbail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Pokatilov S. (G) 4. Chakla S. 5. Dashdamirov R. 3. Irazabal J. 99. Kupusovic N. 13. Lepinjica I. 15. Mammadov S. 17. Mutallimov T. 9. Nuriyev A. 33. Rakhmonaliyev U. 70. Sekidika J. (C)	12. Mustabazada A. (G) 14. Allouch S. 20. Celik M. 10. Gomis D. (C) 3. Lytvyn D. 7. Maddi 96. Muradov I. 77. Nabiyev F. 99. Nshuti I. 83. Quliyev N. 5. Sofir G.
Substitutes
32. Dunyamaliyev E. 83. Ende J. S. 8. Guliev A. 1. Imanov Y. (G) 6. Khaybulaev A. 7. Letic B. 55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 20. Mickels J. 11. Parris K. 12. Thill V.	67. Abasov R. 22. Abbasov M. 19. Abdullayev S. 11. Abdullazada R. 18. Ahmadov S. 44. Bilali A. 97. Mammadov O. 25. Mammadzada N. (G) 91. Mirsultanov T. 74. Nabiyev Y. 4. Nikolic M. 16. Rustamov E.
Coaches
Berezutski V.	Huseynov C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Muradov I. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Nshuti I. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Chakla S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
58', Mammadov S. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,
58', Sekidika J. ↓, Mickels J. ↑,
60', Lytvyn D. 🟨,
65', Gomis D. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,
66', Nshuti I. ↓, Abbasov M. ↑,
69', Mickels J. 🟨,
70', Nuriyev A. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Allouch S. ⚽,
76', Irazabal J. 🟨,
79', Chakla S. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Lytvyn D. (Own goal),
85', Sofir G. ↓, Nabiyev Y. ↑,
86', Quliyev N. ↓, Rustamov E. ↑,
90+1', Rustamov E. ↓, Nikolic M. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Mickels J. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabah won 3.

Recent matches Sabah is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Səbail is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Səbail could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sabah is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sabah won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:16 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sabah won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:3 (average 1.4:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
12.04.25	Turan Tovuz - Sabah	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Sabah - Kapaz	0:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
02.04.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
29.03.25	Sumgayit - Sabah	3:3 ✺
15.03.25	Sabah - Zira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTT
- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.04.25	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Səbail - Turan Tovuz	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Kapaz - Səbail	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Səbail - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Zira - Səbail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
17.02.25	Səbail - Sabah	0:0
29.11.24	Sabah - Səbail	1:0
22.09.24	Səbail - Sabah	2:4
27.04.24	Sabah - Səbail	2:0
24.02.24	Səbail - Sabah	2:0
10.12.23	Sabah - Səbail	4:0
30.09.23	Səbail - Sabah	2:2

Upcoming Matches