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Current Win Probability
Kapaz 45.7%
Draw 29.2%
Səbail 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
28.6%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
27%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kapaz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Səbail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kapaz - Səbail Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Santos R. (G) 26. Almeyda V. 28. Ardazishvili R. 3. Ba M. 5. Huseynli R. 88. Mabatshoev S. 12. Manafov T. 9. Pachu 2. Qyrtymov I. (C) 7. Shahverdiyev E. 29. Verdasca D.
12. Mustabazada A. (G) 22. Abbasov M. 11. Abdullazada R. 20. Celik M. 3. Lytvyn D. 7. Maddi 77. Nabiyev F. 74. Nabiyev Y. (C) 4. Nikolic M. 83. Quliyev N. 5. Sofir G.
Substitutes
18. Bayramov E. (G) 11. Buhagiar T. 21. Cafarov C. 22. Huseynov M. (G) 78. Khvalko E. 10. L'Koucha K. 6. Musayev N. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 19. Shafiyev S. 70. Suleymanov N. 8. Tagiyev E.
19. Abdullayev S. 18. Ahmadov S. 44. Bilali A. 10. Gomis D. 97. Mammadov O. 25. Mammadzada N. (G) 99. Nshuti I. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 16. Rustamov E. 88. Shiraliyev H.
Coaches
Bagirov A.
Huseynov C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Sofir G. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Mabatshoev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nabiyev Y. ↓, Ahmadov S. ↑,
46', Quliyev N. ↓, Mammadov O. ↑,
58', Sofir G. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
58', Abbasov M. ↓, Nshuti I. ↑,
61', Verdasca D. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Lytvyn D. ⚽,
69', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Cafarov C. ↑,
75', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Buhagiar T. ↑,
75', Ardazishvili R. ↓, L'Koucha K. ↑,
76', Ahmadov S. 🟨,
81', Celik M. ↓, Rustamov E. ↑,
84', Pachu ↓, Shafiyev S. ↑,
84', Qyrtymov I. ↓, Khvalko E. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kapaz won 1.
Kapaz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Səbail has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Kapaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Kapaz will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Kapaz won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15:30 (average 0.9:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Kapaz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.3:1.9).
Azerbaijan
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Santos R. (G) 
Ardazishvili R. 
Ba M. 
Huseynli R. 
Mabatshoev S. 
Pachu 
Lytvyn D. 
Maddi 
Nikolic M. 
Sofir G. 
Buhagiar T. 
Khvalko E. 
L'Koucha K. 
Bilali A. 
Nshuti I. 
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