Match Info

Super League - Round 28

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Qingdao Youth Football Stadium (Qingdao) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:35	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Hainiu		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
	8.5	6.25	1.19	Watch
	9.75	6.00	1.23
	10.5	6.1	1.2	Watch
	10.87	6.42	1.27
	10	6.1	1.24	Watch
	10	6.35	1.24
	8.88	6.53	1.25
	10	6.2	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.81 ↑ (2.97)	6.24 ↑ (3.64)	1.23 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Hainiu
9.5%

Draw
14.9%

Liaoning Tieren
75.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

25.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Hainiu's form might have worsened.

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Qingdao Hainiu - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liaoning Tieren (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Qingdao Hainiu (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu (votes: 1 - 50%). Liaoning Tieren (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mu Pengfei (C) 37. Wei Zixian 4. Jin Yangyang 23. Song Long 29. Li Suda 20. Gong Ruicong 6. Edjouma M. 21. Liu Guobao 30. Che Shiwei 34. Jin Yonghao 10. Strandberg C.	29. Zhang Yan (G) 34. Zhang H. 26. Yuan Mincheng 3. Pan Ximing 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 18. Li Tixiang 36. Tian Deao 11. Chen Binbin 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 9. Mbenza G. 47. Jeffinho
Substitutes
53. Cui Jingyao 51. Hu Ziyu 43. Jappar M. (G) 27. Kuang Zhaolei 16. Li Hailong 1. Liu Jun (G) 9. Liu Xinyu 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 14. Sun Zheng'ao 17. Wang Qiao 52. Yi Xinyang 47. Zheng Cuanhui	15. Felipe 27. Gao Jiarun 7. Kouame A. 35. Li Haoran 22. Liu G. 30. Pang Shenghan 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 16. Wang T. (G) 28. Xu Dong 8. Yan Dinghao
Coaches
Ristic M.	Seo Jung-Won

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Chen Binbin (A),
12', Li Suda 🟨,
30', Mbenza G. ↓, Kouame A. ↑,
41', Pan Ximing 🟨,
45+1', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
45+2', Ristic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Li Suda ↓, Sun Zheng'ao ↑,
46', Liu Guobao ↓, Kuang Zhaolei ↑,
50', Zhang H. ↓, Felipe ↑,
57', Che Shiwei ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Jeffinho ⚽, Li Tixiang (A),
67', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
69', Strandberg C. ↓, Yi Xinyang ↑,
75', Edjouma M. ↓, Ngan Cheuk-Pan ↑,
79', Tian Deao ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,
80', Mawlanniyaz D. ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
80', Li Tixiang ↓, Tian Yinong ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Kouame A. ⚽, Yan Dinghao (A),
90+1', 0 - 4, Kouame A. ⚽,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 16th in the Relegation - League One and 14th).

Qingdao Hainiu is Relegated to League One.

Liaoning Tieren has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Qingdao Hainiu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Liaoning Tieren is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Qingdao Hainiu: El Messaoudi A. (Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Hainiu has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:2 (averaging 1.8:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Qingdao Hainiu against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Liaoning Tieren	29	8	5	16	41:52	-11	29
16	Qingdao Hainiu ✔	29	6	3	20	34:62	-28	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
09.10.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Dalian Young Boy - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Wuhan Three Towns	1:5 ✺
23.08.26	Shanghai Port - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao Hainiu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
11.10.26	Liaoning Tieren - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Yunnan Yukun - Liaoning Tieren	5:0 ✺
29.08.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
20.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 penalties
Chinese Jia League
03.12.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Liaoning Tieren	2:0
09.11.22	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:3

Qingdao Hainiu - Liaoning Tieren