Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 23

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)


	Qingdao Red Lions		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.66	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.51
	1.76	3.68	4.45	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.75
	1.65	3.58	4.76	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.75)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	4.57 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
54.7%

Draw
25.3%

Jiangxi Lushan
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Qingdao Red Lions - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhu Quan (G) 16. Chen Long 5. Huang X. 35. Zhang S. 23. Zhang Liang 37. Chen H. 10. Asamoah S. 20. Nie Aoshuang 33. Sun Weijia 13. Beshathan Zanhar 15. Jia Xiaochen	19. Chen Junxu (G) 13. Zhang Yanjun 36. Zhang Junzhe 24. Du Junpeng 33. Kang Zhenjie 10. Willie 44. Abdukerim Qaharman 37. Wang J. 11. Brown T. 4. Zhu Mingxin 29. Fortes F.
Substitutes
32. Dai B. 21. Hai Xiaorui 18. He Youzu 17. Lian C. 31. Li Guihao 34. Li Tongrui 11. Mwanga J. E. 40. Pi Ziyang 19. Ren Lihao 25. Tang Y. (G) 44. Wu Junhao 6. Zheng Haokun	14. Chen Yunhua 30. Gao Mingyi 16. Hu Jiaqi 35. Li Jiahao 34. Ma Kunyue (G) 28. Muhta Muzapar 5. Nuer X. 6. Song Ziwenhao 25. Wang Hongbin 17. Xu Dongdong 26. Zhang Xiang
Coaches
Ma Y.	Yue S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Zhu Mingxin ⚽,
26', Kang Zhenjie 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Huang X. ⚽,
34', Du Junpeng 🟨,
44', Sun Weijia 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Brown T. ⚽, Fortes F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kang Zhenjie ↓, Nuer X. ↑,
46', Wang J. ↓, Xu Dongdong ↑,
46', Sun Weijia ↓, Wu Junhao ↑,
52', Nie Aoshuang 🟨,
60', Chen Long ↓, Li Guihao ↑,
60', Huang X. ↓, Dai B. ↑,
71', Fortes F. ↓, Chen Yunhua ↑,
71', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Mwanga J. E. ↑,
71', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Wang Hongbin ↑,
72', Chen H. ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
84', Willie ↓, Hu Jiaqi ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Qingdao Red Lions is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Jiangxi Lushan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Qingdao Red Lions is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qingdao Red Lions won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
06.09.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Wuxi Wugou	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLTT
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
07.09.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2

Qingdao Red Lions - Jiangxi Lushan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide