Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 20

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)


	Qingdao Red Lions		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.4	3	2.85	Watch
	2.45	3.2	3.08
	2.39	2.99	2.99	Watch
	2.35	3.02	2.95	Watch
	2.4	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.97)	3.05 ↓ (3.23)	2.91 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
38.5%

Draw
30%

Wuxi Wugou
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.5%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wuxi Wugou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wuxi Wugou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Qingdao Red Lions - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhu Quan (G) 31. Li Guihao 5. Huang X. 35. Zhang S. 23. Zhang Liang 10. Asamoah S. 20. Nie Aoshuang 37. Chen H. 44. Wu Junhao 17. Lian C. 11. Mwanga J. E.	1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 28. Yu Wai-Lim 23. Yang Wenji 4. Liang Jinhu 7. Guo Song 8. Zhang Yuanshu 18. Yue Zhilei 38. Zhu Haiwei 45. Zhao Z. 20. Nouble J. 19. Li Boxi
Substitutes
16. Chen Long 32. Dai B. 18. He Youzu 15. Jia Xiaochen 40. Pi Ziyang 19. Ren Lihao 3. Sun Ningzhe 33. Sun Weijia 36. Teng Shangkun (G) 43. Wang G. 30. Xin C. 6. Zheng Haokun	39. Fu Hao 34. Gui Hong 21. He Mingli 27. He Wei 11. Mandic S. 12. Song X. 6. Tang Qirun 10. Tong Le 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 30. Yuan Z. 22. Zhang Jingyi (G) 36. Zhao Shuhao
Coaches
Sun X.	Zhang H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Chen H. ↓, Ren Lihao ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lian C. ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Zhao Z. ⚽,
57', Li Boxi ↓, Tang Qirun ↑,
58', Nie Aoshuang 🟨,
59', Nie Aoshuang ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
59', Wu Junhao ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
66', Zhu Haiwei ↓, Mandic S. ↑,
74', Zhao Z. ↓, He Mingli ↑,
74', Zhang Yuanshu ↓, Tong Le ↑,
76', Li Guihao ↓, Sun Ningzhe ↑,
85', Asamoah S. 🟨,
87', Yue Zhilei ↓, Tursunjan Ahmat ↑,
87', Mwanga J. E. ↓, Dai B. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Pi Ziyang ⚽, Sun Weijia (A),
88', Guo Song ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
90+3', Pi Ziyang 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 2, Tong Le ⚽,
90+9', Tong Le 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Qingdao Red Lions is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wuxi Wugou is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qingdao Red Lions will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qingdao Red Lions won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
18.08.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Dalian Young Boy - Qingdao Red Lions	4:0 ✺
30.06.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTTLL
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
17.08.24	Wuxi Wugou - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Wuxi Wugou - Beijing Guoan	1:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.07.24	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Wuxi Wugou	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
06.04.24	Wuxi Wugou - Qingdao Red Lions	1:6

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