Match Info

Jia League - Round 10

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Red Lions		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.55	3.2	1.97	Watch
	3.73	3.22	2.06
	3.93	3.23	2	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.61	3.2	1.96	Watch
	3.55	3.2	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	1.99 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
25.3%

Draw
28.8%

Nantong Zhiyun
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.4%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Qingdao Red Lions - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Qingdao Red Lions (votes: 2 - 40%). Nantong Zhiyun (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nantong Zhiyun will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Li Ya'nan (G) 8. Jia Xiaochen 16. Zhang Yixuan 44. Wu Junhao 23. Zhang Liang 10. Leandro Alves 20. Nie Aoshuang 22. Iskandar B. 37. Chen Hao-Wei 9. Rivaldinho 11. Sun Xipeng	1. Li Guanxi (G) 2. Xu Hui 5. Ma Sheng 15. Liu Wei 33. Li Haoran 14. Liu Weicheng 25. Cao Kang 37. Jia Boyan 11. Chen Binbin 7. Ye Daochi 23. Jiang Kaihua
Substitutes
15. Hao Yucheng 5. Liu Pujin 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 19. Ren Lihao 43. Sheng Muze (G) 13. Tao Yuan 35. Zhang Shuai 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)	8. Halimurat Kamiran 6. Hu Mingfei 10. Ivanovic I. 21. Jiang Jiapeng 18. Jiang Zilei 13. Liao Lei 39. Liu Ye 16. Lu Jin (G) 19. Nan Xiaoheng 28. Song Haoyu 9. Ukachukwu P. 22. Wang Jinshuai (G)
Coaches
Ma Yongkang	Shinoda Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Li Ya'nan 🟨,
52', Iskandar B. ↓, Zhou Jianyi ↑,
56', Liu Wei 🟨,
58', Nie Aoshuang 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Ye Daochi ⚽, Chen Binbin (A),
70', Cao Kang ↓, Ivanovic I. ↑,
70', Jiang Kaihua ↓, Jiang Jiapeng ↑,
75', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Zhao Chengle ↑,
75', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
78', Ye Daochi ↓, Nan Xiaoheng ↑,
88', Liu Weicheng ↓, Hu Mingfei ↑,
90', Nan Xiaoheng 🟨,
90', Wu Junhao ↓, Tao Yuan ↑,
90+6', Li Haoran ↓, Liao Lei ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 8).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Qingdao Red Lions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nantong Zhiyun could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shandong Taishan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLTL
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Shaanxi Union - Nantong Zhiyun	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Juniors	5:0 ✺
03.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Dalian Kun City - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTL

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