Match Info

Jia League - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Red Lions		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.77
	4.6	3.2	1.77	Watch
	4.84	3.26	1.81
	4.79	3.27	1.82	Watch
	4.4	3.1	1.85
	4.84	3.18	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.2	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (5.17)	3.19 ↓ (3.32)	1.79 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
19.8%

Draw
28.8%

Suzhou Dongwu
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

27.6%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

27.2%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Li Ya'nan (G) 16. Zhang Yixuan 33. Shi Zhe 11. Sun Xipeng 23. Zhang Liang 8. Jia Xiaochen 20. Nie Aoshuang 7. Nobrega J. 37. Chen Hao-Wei 9. Rivaldinho 10. Leandro Alves	1. Liu Yu (G) 2. Wang Xijie 22. Andrejevic A. 5. Xu Wu 17. Bao Shimeng 20. Fan Xulin 6. Estrela 8. Gao D. 13. Beshathan Zanhar 7. Covic N. 18. Liang Weipeng
Substitutes
15. Hao Yucheng 22. Iskandar B. 5. Liu Pujin 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 43. Sheng Muze (G) 44. Wu Junhao 35. Zhang Shuai 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)	42. Arafat Ghenifa 37. Askhan (G) 29. Chen Ao 28. Deng Yubiao 26. Hu J. 21. Li Xinyu (G) 27. Ma Fuyu 31. Wang Yifan 23. Wen Junjie 19. Wu Junjie 11. Zhang Jingzhe 15. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Ma Yongkang	Kim Dae-Eui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Wang Xijie 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Liang Weipeng ↓, Arafat Ghenifa ↑,
46', Fan Xulin ↓, Deng Yubiao ↑,
72', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Wu Junhao ↑,
73', Shi Zhe ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
76', Bao Shimeng ↓, Zhang Jingzhe ↑,
83', Beshathan Zanhar ↓, Wang Yifan ↑,
84', Estrela 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Covic N. ⚽,
90+3', Nobrega J. ↓, Zhou Jianyi ↑,
90+3', Zhang Yixuan ↓, Lu K. ↑,
90+3', Leandro Alves ↓, Zhang Shuai ↑,
90+5', Gao D. ↓, Hu J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 5).

Qingdao Red Lions is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Suzhou Dongwu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Qingdao Red Lions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Qingdao Red Lions has had a series of away games.

In this match, Suzhou Dongwu is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
04.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren	1:3 ✺
22.04.25	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Dingnan United - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWL
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
03.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Quanzhou Qinggong - Suzhou Dongwu	0:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Dalian Kun City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
05.10.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1
26.05.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu	3:3
Chinese FA Cup
31.05.23	Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2 penalties

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