Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Qingdao West Coast		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.90	1.81	Watch
	3.60	3.70	1.83
	4.25	3.85	1.73	Watch
	4.08	3.88	1.92
	3.85	3.81	1.85	Watch
	4.05	3.80	1.83
	3.73	3.95	1.83	Watch
	3.70	3.85	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (4.12)	3.84 ↑ (3.8)	1.84 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao West Coast
24.4%

Draw
24.4%

Chengdu Rongcheng
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

24.6%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

24.3%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	12.5%	81.2%

Qingdao West Coast - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Qingdao West Coast (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chengdu Rongcheng will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Qingdao West Coast (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Li H. (G) 19. Dong Yu 5. Memisevic S. 15. Wang Peng 22. Wang Gengrui 10. Da Luz N. 25. Peng Xinli 4. Lohman Elnizar 11. Davidson (C) 30. Yang Zhanpeng 9. Yakubu A.	32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 4. He Yiran 22. Li Y. 28. Sorokin E. 2. Hu H. 11. Wellington Silva 16. Yang Ming-Yang 23. Liao Lisheng 7. Wei Shihao (C) 20. Wang Ziming 27. Abduweli Behram
Substitutes
27. Asqer A. 32. Ding Haifeng 37. Dong Hang (G) 20. He Longhai 29. Jia Weiwei 6. Jin S. 26. Liu Shibo (G) 21. Meng Jingchao 35. Nan Song 36. Sun Jie 31. Xie Alexander 28. Zhang Chengdong	19. Dong Y. 9. Felipe Silva 39. Gan Chao 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 3. Jojo A. C. 58. Liao Rongxiang 48. Li Moyu 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 15. Ran Weifeng (G) 10. Romulo 17. Wang Dongsheng
Coaches
Zheng Zhi	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Da Luz N. ⚽,
34', Lohman Elnizar 🟨,
41', Dong Yu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abduweli Behram ↓, Felipe Silva ↑,
53', Wei Shihao 🟨,
58', Wang Ziming ↓, Romulo ↑,
58', Hu H. ↓, Wang Dongsheng ↑,
64', Yang Zhanpeng ↓, Zhang Chengdong ↑,
68', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,
70', Lohman Elnizar ↓, Jin S. ↑,
74', Davidson 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Felipe Silva ⚽,
82', Li Y. ↓, Dong Y. ↑,
90+1', Peng Xinli 🟨,
90+1', Peng Xinli ↓, Meng Jingchao ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Qingdao West Coast: Zhang X. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Chengdu Rongcheng: Han Pengfei (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Qingdao West Coast: Braunshtain B. (Abdominal strain) Rezende (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51:30	21	52
5	Qingdao West Coast	26	8	14	4	31:32	-1	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League
11.07.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Port	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Qingdao West Coast - Zhejiang Professional	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Qingdao West Coast	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWT
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
11.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Shanghai Zetian - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:4 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shandong Taishan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
03.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao West Coast	5:1
26.10.25	Qingdao West Coast - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2
17.05.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao West Coast	1:1
27.10.24	Qingdao West Coast - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1
26.05.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao West Coast	7:0

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