Match Info

Super League - Round 15

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao)

Referee: Jiang M. (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Qingdao West Coast		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.22	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.35	3.65	2.92
	2.25	3.61	2.87	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.88
	2.33	3.59	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.36)	3.54 ↓ (3.81)	2.92 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao West Coast
41.4%

Draw
26.5%

Shanghai Shenhua
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

24.5%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

24.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	28.6%	35.7%

Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qingdao West Coast: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Li H. (G) 19. Dong Yu 5. Memisevic S. 15. Wang Peng 22. Wang Gengrui 10. Da Luz N. 8. Zhang X. 23. Rezende 11. Davidson (C) 25. Peng Xinli 9. Yakubu A.	1. Xue Qinghao (G) 2. Wang Shilong 26. Yang Shuai 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 17. Gao Tianyi 33. Wang Haijian 15. Wu Xi (C) 21. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 9. Rafael Ratao
Substitutes
27. Asqer A. 32. Ding Haifeng 37. Dong Hang (G) 29. Jia Weiwei 26. Liu Shibo (G) 45. Liu Xiaolong 33. Liu Zhicheng 21. Meng Jingchao 36. Sun Jie 30. Yang Zhanpeng 28. Zhang Chengdong 3. Zhao Honglue	45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 3. Jin Shunkai 8. Ke L. 24. Ma Zhen (G) 40. Wang J. (G) 30. Xie Pengfei 25. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Huang Bowen	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Wu Xi ⚽, Chan Shinichi (A),
8', Rezende 🟨,
29', Wang Peng 🟨,
45+1', Zhu Chenjie 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Yakubu A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Chan Shinichi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Davidson ⚽,
63', Yang Haoyu ↓, Xie Pengfei ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Zhu Chenjie ⚽,
77', Rezende ↓, Zhang Chengdong ↑,
77', Gao Tianyi ↓, Ke L. ↑,
77', Peng Xinli ↓, Yang Zhanpeng ↑,
85', Zhang X. ↓, Meng Jingchao ↑,
88', Wang Shilong ↓, Jin Shunkai ↑,
90', Da Luz N. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
90', Wang Gengrui ↓, Ding Haifeng ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).

Qingdao West Coast is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shanghai Shenhua has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Qingdao West Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Gueye M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jiang Shenglong (Illness) Saulo Mineiro (Inactive) Teixeira J. (Injury) Yang Zexiang (Yellow Cards)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Qingdao West Coast	26	8	14	4	31:32	-1	38
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	52:46	6	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League
24.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Qingdao West Coast	2:3 ✺
19.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Dalian Young Boy - Qingdao West Coast	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WTWTT
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
24.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan Three Towns	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:2 ✺
05.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Shenhua	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
17.10.25	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2
10.05.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao West Coast	4:0
30.06.24	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1
08.03.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao West Coast	2:0

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