Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Shanghai Shenhua		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.45	6.1
	1.5	4.58	6.64
	1.44	4.73	6.27	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.51	4.47	6.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.43)	4.46 ↑ (4.46)	6.3 ↓ (6.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
64.1%

Draw
21%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.3%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Users Predictions: Shanghai Shenhua will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 3. Jin Shunkai 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 33. Wang Haijian 15. Wu Xi (C) 17. Gao Tianyi 30. Xie Pengfei 43. Yang Haoyu 9. Rafael Ratao	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. (C) 6. Jin Pengxiang 24. Liu Mingshi 15. Chen Chunxin 16. Zhang Zhixiong 3. Zhang Yingkai 9. Cimpanu G. 11. Dimata L. 27. Wu Yongqiang
Substitutes
45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 18. Liu Chengyu 24. Ma Zhen (G) 31. Wang H. (G) 2. Wang Shilong 38. Wu Q. 21. Xu Haoyang 26. Yang Shuai 16. Yang Zexiang 25. Zhu Yue	30. Bai Yutao 19. Du Yuezheng 5. Huang X. 21. Liu J. 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Yu-Hei 38. Ruan Qilong 28. Wang Haowen 37. Wei Suowei 31. Wu Zitong (G) 7. Xiang Yuwang 4. Yue Ruijie
Coaches
Slutski L.	Liu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Dimata L. (Penalty Awarded),
9', 0 - 1, Dimata L. ⚽, Zhang Zhixiong (A),
30', 0 - 2, Cimpanu G. ⚽, Dimata L. (A),
43', Gao Tianyi 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Dimata L. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
56', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Xiang Yuwang ↑,
56', Liu Mingshi ↓, Ma Yujun ↑,
60', Yang Haoyu ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Zhu Chenjie ⚽, Gao Tianyi (A),
74', 2 - 2, Zhu Chenjie ⚽, Xie Pengfei (A),
79', Jin Shunkai 🟨,
83', Xie Pengfei ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,
86', Yang Zexiang 🟨,
90+3', Zhu Chenjie 🟨,
90+4', Zhang Zhixiong 🟨,
90+6', Manafa W. 🟥,
90+7', Cimpanu G. ↓, Ng Yu-Hei ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Shanghai Shenhua is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Jiang Shenglong (Illness)

There will not play in Chongqing: Amadou I. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Shanghai Shenhua: Gueye M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ke L. (Inactive) Teixeira J. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shanghai Shenhua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	52:46	6	31
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
05.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Shenhua	4:1 ✺
01.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Liaoning Tieren	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
05.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Dalian Young Boy - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Shanghai Port - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
30.08.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2

Upcoming Matches