Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Yunnan Yukun		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	1.86	4	3.5	Watch
	1.88	3.95	3.4	Watch
	1.91	4.21	3.66
	1.9	3.89	3.56	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.4
	1.89	3.97	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.37)	3.97 ↑ (3.42)	3.5 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
49.7%

Draw
23.6%

Shanghai Shenhua
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.3%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

27.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Shenhua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Shenhua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 19. Huang Zichang 5. Shi Ke 33. Burca A. 21. Yang Zihao 34. Caio Vinicius 8. Xu Xin 30. Saeter J. 10. Ionita II A. (C) 9. Cleber 11. Taty Maritu O.	1. Xue Qinghao (G) 16. Yang Zexiang 3. Jin Shunkai 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 33. Wang Haijian 38. Wu Q. 15. Wu Xi (C) 30. Xie Pengfei 43. Yang Haoyu 9. Rafael Ratao
Substitutes
39. Abdusalam B. 32. Chen Yuhao 25. Deng Hanwen 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 14. Wang Xinghao (G) 7. Ye Chugui 18. Yi Teng 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 15. Zhang Yufeng 6. Zhao Yuhao	45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 18. Liu Chengyu 24. Ma Zhen (G) 31. Wang H. (G) 2. Wang Shilong 21. Xu Haoyang 26. Yang Shuai 25. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Vinyals J.	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Wu Xi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Caio Vinicius ↓, Ye Chugui ↑,
55', Wang Haijian ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
65', Huang Zichang ↓, Deng Hanwen ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Ye Chugui (A),
69', Xie Pengfei ↓, Han Jiawen ↑,
79', Burca A. 🟨,
81', Saeter J. ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
83', Yang Haoyu ↓, Yang Shuai ↑,
84', Chan Shinichi ↓, Wang Shilong ↑,
89', Ionita II A. ↓, Yi Teng ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shanghai Shenhua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yunnan Yukun might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury) Ye Chugui (Injury)

There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Gao Tianyi (Yellow Cards) Gueye M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jiang Shenglong (Illness) Manafa W. (Red Card) Teixeira J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shanghai Shenhua: Ke L. (Inactive) Saulo Mineiro (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54:51	3	38
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	52:46	6	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
10.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Yunnan Yukun	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Zhejiang Professional	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	1:3 ✺
21.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLTWL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
09.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:2 ✺
05.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Shenhua	4:1 ✺
01.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
02.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua	4:4
02.04.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Yunnan Yukun	3:1
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.23	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2

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