Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 29

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Palmerston Park (Dumfries)


	Queen of the South		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.75	1.29
	8.25	5	1.27
	8.5	4.75	1.33	Watch
	9.49	5.29	1.31
	9.49	5.29	1.31
	10	5	1.25
	9.3	5.25	1.28	Watch
	8.8	5	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.17 ↑ (8.3)	5.04 ↑ (4.63)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
10.1%

Draw
18.3%

Falkirk
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

19.9%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

19.3%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Queen of the South - Falkirk Predictions

Users Predictions: Falkirk will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Stone H. (G) 23. Logan C. 5. McKay P. 15. McClelland K. 4. Kilsby M. 6. Cochrane H. 17. Ferguson A. 8. Todd J. 22. Mumbongo J. 10. Connelly L. 27. Gibson L.	1. Long S. (G) 14. Yeats F. 4. McGinn S. 6. Donaldson C. 5. Henderson L. 15. Tait D. 17. MacIver R. 7. Morrison C. 29. Miller C. 18. Oliver G. 26. Mackie S.
Substitutes
24. Ambrose E. 1. Botterill G. (G) 25. Doherty K. 2. Houston J. 28. Johnstone B. 11. McGuffie C. 7. McKechnie K. 9. Reilly G. 30. Walker H.	11. Agyeman A. 20. Bisland L. 31. Hogarth N. (G) 3. McCann L. 10. Nesbitt A. 23. Ross E. 19. Shanley R. 8. Spencer B.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 1.

Queen of the South is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Falkirk in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Queen of the South could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Falkirk is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 32-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Queen of the South won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
09.03.24	Annan Athletic - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Queen of the South - Stirling Albion	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Queen of the South - Montrose	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Edinburgh City - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTT
- Falkirk FC
Scottish League One
09.03.24	Stirling Albion - Falkirk	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Cove Rangers - Falkirk	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Falkirk - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Kelty Hearts - Falkirk	0:1 ✺
20.02.24	Falkirk - Montrose	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
06.01.24	Falkirk - Queen of the South	1:0
04.11.23	Queen of the South - Falkirk	1:1
16.09.23	Falkirk - Queen of the South	1:0
18.03.23	Queen of the South - Falkirk	1:0
23.12.22	Falkirk - Queen of the South	5:2
29.10.22	Queen of the South - Falkirk	1:3
27.08.22	Falkirk - Queen of the South	3:1

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