Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 26

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Kelty Hearts		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	8.5	6	1.25
	10	5.5	1.25	Watch
	7.4	4.95	1.24
	10.29	6.11	1.25
	9	5.5	1.22
	8.62	6.08	1.27	Watch
	9.4	5.6	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.03 ↑ (5.6)	5.68 ↑ (5)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
10.2%

Draw
16.2%

Falkirk
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

18%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

16.9%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kelty Hearts's form might have worsened.

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falkirk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kelty Hearts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkirk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kelty Hearts - Falkirk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gourlay K. (G) 15. Owens L. 5. Thomson J. 17. Owens B. 3. Paterson B. 10. Cunningham R. 8. Lyon R. 12. Tidser M. 16. O'Donnell L. 19. Bavidge A. 9. Johnston C.	31. Hogarth N. (G) 20. Bisland L. 2. Lang T. 6. Donaldson C. 3. McCann L. 11. Agyeman A. 15. Tait D. 18. Oliver G. 8. Spencer B. 29. Miller C. 17. MacIver R.
Substitutes
14. Biabi B. 20. Campbell L. (G) 24. Garvie R. 18. McAllister R. 11. McCluskey S. 21. McGlynn J. 22. Shearer F.	5. Henderson L. 1. Long S. (G) 26. Mackie S. 4. McGinn S. 10. Nesbitt A. 23. Ross E. 19. Shanley R. 14. Yeats F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Falkirk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Falkirk is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Kelty Hearts won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
17.02.24	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	4:2 ✺
13.02.24	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Edinburgh City - Kelty Hearts	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Stirling Albion - Kelty Hearts	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTWL
- Falkirk FC
Scottish League One
20.02.24	Falkirk - Montrose	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	3:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
03.02.24	Falkirk - The New Saints	0:1 ✺
Scottish League One
27.01.24	Alloa Athletic - Falkirk	0:5 ✺
Scottish Cup
20.01.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Falkirk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
09.12.23	Falkirk - Kelty Hearts	2:1
23.09.23	Kelty Hearts - Falkirk	1:5
24.03.23	Falkirk - Kelty Hearts	0:0
04.02.23	Kelty Hearts - Falkirk	1:2
22.10.22	Falkirk - Kelty Hearts	2:3
03.09.22	Kelty Hearts - Falkirk	2:0

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