Match Info

League One - Round 31

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Inverness		Queen of the South

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.35	6.1
	1.45	4.54	6.53
	1.45	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.47	4.25	6.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	4.32 ↑ (3.95)	6.27 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
63.9%

Draw
21.4%

Queen of the South
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

23.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Inverness - Queen of the South Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inverness will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 2. Millen R. (C) 12. Robertson M. 5. Savage R. 3. MacIntyre O. 19. Stewart A. 18. Chalmers J. 11. Longstaff L. 22. Alonge J. 36. Bavidge A. 9. McKay B.	1. Stewart R. (G) 12. Penman C. 5. Douglas M. (C) 6. Hannah J. 3. Charters T. 16. MacKenzie Z. 8. Luissint B. 4. Lyon R. 88. Clark N. 28. Guthrie K. 10. Kennedy K.
Substitutes
7. Allan P. 20. Brannan B. 30. Clark J. 33. Kerr A. 8. Mackinnon A. 14. MacLeod C. 21. Ross L. (G) 37. Willox K. 10. Wotherspoon D.	9. Allan J. 26. Green L. (G) 14. Johnstone B. 20. Mason S. 15. Rogerson N. 7. Smith L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Charters T. 🟨,
33', MacIntyre O. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Clark N. ⚽, MacKenzie Z. (A),
45', McKay B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Millen R. ⚽,
77', Longstaff L. ↓, Willox K. ↑,
78', Clark N. ↓, Johnstone B. ↑,
78', Luissint B. 🟨,
82', Guthrie K. ↓, Mason S. ↑,
83', Lyon R. 🟨,
87', McKay B. ↓, Wotherspoon D. ↑,
87', MacKenzie Z. ↓, Smith L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 3.

Inverness is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Queen of the South has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Inverness may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inverness is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Inverness won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Queen of South	9	2	1	6	10:27	-17	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
21.03.26	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Inverness - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Inverness - Cove Rangers	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Inverness - Montrose	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWTWT
- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
21.03.26	Queen of the South - East Fife	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Queen of the South - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Queen of the South - Peterhead	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Montrose - Queen of the South	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
31.01.26	Queen of the South - Inverness	2:2
22.11.25	Inverness - Queen of the South	4:0
20.09.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	0:2
29.03.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	4:1
01.02.25	Inverness - Queen of the South	1:0
21.01.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	3:2
31.08.24	Inverness - Queen of the South	1:0

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