Match Info

Championship - Round 7

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: The City Stadium (Glasgow)

Referee: Hay J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	Ayr United Media, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Usa	QPTV Live


	Queens Park		Ayr United

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.20	2.05
	3.20	3.10	2.05
	3.3	3.15	2.12	Watch
	3.46	3.26	2.21
	3.37	3.25	2.18	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.18
	3.28	3.1	2.09	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)	3.19 ↓ (3.32)	2.13 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park
27.8%

Draw
28.9%

Ayr United
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

28.1%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.6%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Queens Park - Ayr United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Queens Park will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ayr will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Queens Park (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wills J. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 4. Murray E. (C) 5. Lamie R. 21. McLean R. 24. McCallion A. 8. Martin S. 11. Connolly A. 27. Smith C. 17. McDonnell T. 9. Ruth M.	1. Stone H. (G) 32. Watret D. 8. King L. 5. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 16. Summers B. 6. Lyon R. (C) 12. Whyte O. 11. Taylor R. 9. Landers J. 17. Hatton T.
Substitutes
26. Brannan B. 16. Fisher O. 18. Goldie C. 25. Lawson Z. 7. Longridge L. 2. Mauchin Z. 1. Mitchell D. (G) 14. Stewart L. 77. Todorov N.	3. Dick L. 34. Douglas J. 2. McAllister N. 20. McBeth L. 25. Mitchell K. 38. Russell L. (G) 7. Stirton O. 21. Walker E. 26. Warbrick M.
Coaches
Crighton S.	Naysmith G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Holt K. 🟨,
30', Taylor R. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 0 - 1, Watret D. ⚽, McMann S. (A),
40', Martin S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Smith C. ↓, Todorov N. ↑,
46', McDonnell T. ↓, Stewart L. ↑,
51', Pignatiello C. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
59', Brannan B. 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Landers J. ⚽, King L. (A),
62', McCallion A. ↓, Longridge L. ↑,
65', Holt K. ↓, McBeth L. ↑,
70', Hatton T. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
71', Landers J. ↓, Stirton O. ↑,
84', Whyte O. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
84', Taylor R. ↓, Mitchell K. ↑,
90', McAllister N. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 9th in the Championship (Relegation) and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 1.

Queens Park is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ayr is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ayr is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Queens Park has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:41 (averaging 1.3:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Queens Park against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 13:19 goals (averaging 1.3:1.9 per game).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Ayr: 1.52% Queen's Park: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ayr	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11
9	Queen's Park	8	1	1	6	4:13	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Ayr United - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park FC
Scottish Football Championship
12.09.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Partick Thistle - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Queens Park - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTLL
- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
12.09.26	Ayr United - Inverness	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
14.08.26	Kilmarnock - Ayr United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
14.03.26	Queens Park - Ayr United	1:1
10.03.26	Ayr United - Queens Park	1:2
25.10.25	Queens Park - Ayr United	0:0
30.08.25	Ayr United - Queens Park	1:1
26.04.25	Ayr United - Queens Park	2:2
04.03.25	Queens Park - Ayr United	2:3
16.11.24	Ayr United - Queens Park	3:2

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