Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Hampden Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)


	Queens Park		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.48	Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.55
	5.6	4.2	1.53	Watch
	4.96	4.23	1.6
	6.08	4.32	1.49	Watch
	5.8	3.9	1.57
	5.56	4.59	1.57	Watch
	5.6	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↑ (3)	4.2 ↑ (3.54)	1.54 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park
17.2%

Draw
22.2%

Falkirk
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.1%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.2%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park's form might have worsened.

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falkirk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkirk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Queens Park - Falkirk Predictions

Users Predictions: Falkirk will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrie C. (G) 24. Devine A. 15. Tizzard W. 12. Jackson B. 33. Montgomery A. 38. King L. 4. Welsh S. 20. Turner J. 14. MacGregor R. 11. Hurst K. 17. Rudden Z.	1. Hogarth N. (G) 20. Adams K. 6. Donaldson C. 4. Lang T. 26. Mackie S. 8. Spencer B. 5. Henderson L. 29. Miller C. 37. Arfield S. 23. Ross E. 16. Stewart B.
Substitutes
28. Drozd S. 23. Duncan R. 29. Evans R. 37. Hickey R. 19. Hinds J. 7. Longridge L. 2. Mauchin Z. 22. Raymond J. 21. Wills J. (G)	11. Agyeman A. 25. Brophy E. 22. Graham L. 9. MacIver R. 31. Munro R. (G) 10. Nesbitt A. 18. Oliver G. 7. Thomson M. 2. Yeats F.
Coaches
Davidson C.	McGlynn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Spencer B. (Pen),
41', Rudden Z. 🟨,
42', Stewart B. ↓, Oliver G. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Henderson L. ⚽, Adams K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Hurst K. ↓, Duncan R. ↑,
46', MacGregor R. ↓, Drozd S. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Oliver G. ⚽, Mackie S. (A),
60', 0 - 3, Miller C. ⚽, Donaldson C. (A),
65', Arfield S. ↓, Nesbitt A. ↑,
65', Ross E. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
65', Miller C. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,
69', Drozd S. 🟨,
72', 0 - 4, Lang T. ⚽,
74', Donaldson C. ↓, Graham L. ↑,
77', Montgomery A. ↓, Mauchin Z. ↑,
77', Welsh S. ↓, Hickey R. ↑,
88', Turner J. 🟨,
90+2', Mackie S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Queens Park won 0.

Queens Park is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Falkirk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Falkirk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Falkirk is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Queens Park won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Queens Park won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park FC
Scottish Football Championship
11.03.25	Queens Park - Partick Thistle	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.03.25	Aberdeen - Queens Park	4:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.03.25	Queens Park - Ayr United	2:3 ✺
01.03.25	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	0:4 ✺
22.02.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWT
- Falkirk FC
Scottish Football Championship
08.03.25	Falkirk - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Airdrieonians - Falkirk	0:3 ✺
01.03.25	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	2:2 ✺
21.02.25	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Falkirk - Ayr United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
11.01.25	Falkirk - Queens Park	0:0
22.11.24	Queens Park - Falkirk	0:1
02.08.24	Falkirk - Queens Park	2:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
14.10.23	Falkirk - Queens Park	1:0
Scottish League One
30.04.22	Queens Park - Falkirk	1:1
05.02.22	Falkirk - Queens Park	1:1
04.12.21	Queens Park - Falkirk	6:0

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